DAVIE—This is the simplest thing in the world: The Dolphins’ three choices with the No. 11 pick are stay there, trade up or trade down.
One factor that could complicate that decision, though, is the massive Jets-Colts trade that took place a month ago. New York gave up three second-round picks, two of which are this year, in order to move up from sixth to third. That’s a drastic spike from what the traditional Jimmy Johnson trade chart says is equal value, but Miami vice president Mike Tannenbaum doesn’t believe it will inflate the market for trading picks.
“Obviously, three (second-round picks) for three spots, it looks like one team is targeting something,” said Tannenbaum, who surely is aware of the widespread assumption that the Jets are angling for one of the top four quarterbacks. “That doesn’t necessarily affect the rest of the trades. Sometimes trades before the draft have one set of criteria, whereas once you’re in the heat of the moment…
“My view with that is the trade chart is a great guideline, but at the end of the day, if two teams want to get something done, they’re going to get something done.”
Johnson’s chart, which uses a point system to assign values to every pick, says one high second-round pick would be almost enough to pay for the jump from No. 6 to No. 3.
The Dolphins rely heavily on Brandon Shore, the senior director of football administration, and Director of Analytics Dennis Lock to track those trades and establish what the team should expect to give up or receive if it explores making moves with its draft picks.
Tannenbaum remains open to moving up or down and has been taking calls from teams this week. Given the Dolphins’ situation, it seems ideal to do one or the other rather than stay at No. 11.
In that spot, Miami is unlikely to get one of the four prized quarterbacks. Moving into the top five, however, would cost the team an enormous amount of assets that it probably can’t afford to surrender considering how many holes are on the roster.
One major position of need is tight end, and No. 11 is too much of a reach for Dallas Goedert or Hayden Hurst, the top two prospects this year. If the Dolphins could move back into the 20s and get some extra picks in return, they’d be in a good spot to grab one of those two.
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